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Red167
582933.5
118101.1
999214.9
Blue101
458717.1
384741.3
12722.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173610100150200250300167101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+54Teleop
+64Endgame
+66Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +54
26Coral scored#12
94Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
118Total teleop64
Reef
11L4#7
7L3#6
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
2Foul points0
167Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1Sur
101.11.6
98.4100.0
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
red by 59.9
3847
#20
41.31.8
38.440.2
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Second
33.51.6
33.034.6
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
red by 10.6
127
#12
22.91.8
20.021.7
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.1
Third
9992
#16
14.92.7
7.19.7
Auto1.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
blue by 2.3
17.11.8
13.315.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned