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Red94
589246.4
258528.6
258730.8
Blue128
542728.6
624316.7
541441.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259605015020025094128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+22
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points27
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +23
11Coral scored#19
40Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
60Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points12
94Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#15
46.41.3
43.041.7
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
red by 5.4
41.11.5
41.242.7
Auto12.4
Teleop24.8
End3.8
Second
2587
#13
30.81.3
23.522.1
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End5.9
red by 2.2
5427
#10Sur
28.61.5
27.128.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End6.3
Third
2585
#14Sur
28.61.3
41.640.2
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End5.0
red by 11.9
6243
#21
16.71.5
20.321.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned