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Red45
99957.9
851519.0
32436.9
Blue92
541441.1
999214.9
12722.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96740501502002503004592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+45
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
5Coral scored#13
18Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
28Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
45Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#4
36.92.8
49.346.5
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
blue by 4.1
41.11.2
42.743.9
Auto12.4
Teleop24.8
End3.8
Second
8515
#18
19.02.8
21.218.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End2.0
blue by 3.8
127
#12
22.91.2
21.722.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.1
Third
9995
#17
7.94.6
16.011.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End0.1
blue by 6.9
9992
#16
14.92.0
9.711.7
Auto1.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed