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Red172
373522.8
118101.1
258730.8
Blue133
557253.1
999431.2
589246.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170118050100150200250300172133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
+21Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
22Coral scored#20
78Coral points72
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
112Total teleop106
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#8
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
18Foul points0
172Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.10.2
100.0100.2
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
red by 48.1
53.11.5
54.055.5
Auto14.5
Teleop30.1
End8.4
Second
2587
#13
30.80.2
22.122.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End5.9
blue by 15.6
5892
#15
46.41.5
41.743.1
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Third
3735
#11
22.80.2
20.620.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.5
blue by 8.5
31.22.4
15.517.9
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed