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Red65
857629.5
542728.6
582933.5
Blue41
947821.8
837022.5
458717.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035701502002506541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+26Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
6Coral scored#3
20Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
26Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points2
65Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.7
36.735.1
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
red by 11.0
22.51.6
23.822.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
29.51.7
26.925.2
Auto1.4
Teleop20.5
End7.5
red by 7.7
9478
#19
21.81.6
25.123.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Third
5427
#10
28.61.7
26.524.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End6.3
red by 11.4
17.11.6
13.512.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed