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Red110
32436.9
541441.1
373522.8
Blue33
624316.7
999214.9
258528.6
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1267205010015020025011033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+41Teleop
+65Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
46Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
12Foul points0
110Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.9
43.943.0
Auto12.4
Teleop24.8
End3.8
red by 12.5
2585
#14
28.62.7
38.235.5
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End5.0
Second
324
#4
36.90.9
46.545.6
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
red by 20.2
6243
#21
16.72.7
23.921.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Third
3735
#11
22.80.9
20.819.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.5
red by 7.9
9992
#16
14.94.5
11.77.2
Auto1.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed