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Red180
557253.1
99957.9
118101.1
Blue157
258730.8
999431.2
384741.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21366050100150250300180157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +56
33Coral scored#16
117Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
145Total teleop89
Reef
18L4#8
7L3#5
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points12
180Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.10.2
100.2100.3
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
red by 59.9
3847
#20
41.33.7
37.140.8
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Second
53.10.2
55.555.6
Auto14.5
Teleop30.1
End8.4
red by 21.8
31.26.2
17.924.1
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End0.6
Third
9995
#17
7.90.3
11.411.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End0.1
blue by 22.8
2587
#13
30.83.7
22.326.0
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned