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Red53
851519.0
12722.9
373522.8
Blue80
589246.4
458717.1
582933.5
18%Model gave it82%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579901505380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
30Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
53Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127
#12
22.90.5
22.922.4
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.1
blue by 23.5
5892
#15
46.40.7
43.142.5
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Second
3735
#11
22.80.5
19.919.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.5
blue by 10.7
33.50.7
35.134.4
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
Third
8515
#18
19.00.5
18.417.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End2.0
red by 1.9
17.10.7
12.011.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned