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Red91
384741.3
999214.9
542728.6
Blue103
258730.8
541441.1
857629.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610605015020091103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
69Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
91Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#20
41.31.2
40.842.1
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
red by 0.2
41.10.6
43.043.6
Auto12.4
Teleop24.8
End3.8
Second
5427
#10
28.61.2
24.826.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End6.3
blue by 2.2
2587
#13
30.80.6
26.026.6
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End5.9
Third
9992
#16
14.92.0
7.29.2
Auto1.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
blue by 14.6
29.50.6
25.225.8
Auto1.4
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned