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Red61
557253.1
837022.5
32436.9
Blue58
589246.4
624316.7
12722.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143870501002002506158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
41Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
61Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.14.2
55.651.5
Auto14.5
Teleop30.1
End8.4
red by 6.6
5892
#15
46.41.9
42.540.6
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Second
324
#4
36.94.2
45.641.5
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
red by 14.0
127
#12
22.91.9
22.420.5
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.1
Third
22.54.2
22.218.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
6243
#21
16.71.9
21.219.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed