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Red178
118101.1
999431.2
851519.0
Blue19
258528.6
99957.9
947821.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1716705010015020025030017819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+151Teleop
+153Endgame
+159Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +137
29Coral scored#2
105Coral points6
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
18Processor points0
20Net points0
38Algae points0
143Total teleop6
Reef
13L4#1
10L3#1
6L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
40Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +159
6Foul points0
178Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.12.0
100.3102.3
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
red by 72.5
2585
#14
28.63.4
35.532.0
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End5.0
Second
31.23.3
24.127.4
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End0.6
red by 9.5
9478
#19
21.83.4
23.520.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Third
8515
#18
19.02.0
17.919.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End2.0
red by 11.1
9995
#17
7.95.7
11.75.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed