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Red57
258528.6
582933.5
32436.9
Blue154
118101.1
947821.8
541441.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11119205015025030057154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+79
Endgame+97
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +58
6Coral scored#15
21Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
35Total teleop93
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#8
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points0
57Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#4
36.93.4
41.538.1
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
blue by 64.2
118
#1
101.10.8
102.3101.5
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
Second
33.53.4
34.431.0
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
blue by 7.6
41.10.8
43.642.8
Auto12.4
Teleop24.8
End3.8
Third
2585
#14
28.63.4
32.028.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End5.0
red by 6.8
9478
#19
21.80.8
20.119.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned