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Red68
851519.0
624316.7
384741.3
Blue127
12722.9
857629.5
999431.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866805010015020068127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +46
9Coral scored#20
32Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
52Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
68Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#20
41.30.9
42.141.2
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
red by 10.0
31.25.9
27.433.3
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End0.6
Second
8515
#18
19.00.9
19.819.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End2.0
blue by 10.4
29.53.5
25.829.4
Auto1.4
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Third
6243
#21
16.70.9
19.318.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End0.5
blue by 6.1
127
#12
22.93.5
20.524.0
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned