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Red107
582933.5
851519.0
947821.8
Blue94
999214.9
258730.8
557253.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011405015020025030010794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
68Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points18
107Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.7
31.131.8
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
blue by 19.6
53.12.5
62.059.5
Auto14.5
Teleop30.1
End8.4
Second
9478
#19
21.80.7
30.831.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 9.0
2587
#13
30.82.5
26.524.0
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End5.9
Third
8515
#18
19.00.7
21.922.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End2.0
red by 4.2
9992
#16
14.94.2
10.26.0
Auto1.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned