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Red154
458717.1
118101.1
857629.5
Blue125
541441.1
589246.4
99957.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16985050100150200250300154125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+21Teleop
+41Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
11Coral points27
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
21Coral scored#11
76Coral points41
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
108Total teleop77
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points12
154Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.11.1
97.398.4
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
red by 54.7
5892
#15
46.41.4
41.943.3
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Second
29.51.1
28.029.2
Auto1.4
Teleop20.5
End7.5
blue by 11.6
41.11.4
39.841.2
Auto12.4
Teleop24.8
End3.8
Third
17.11.1
11.512.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.2
red by 9.2
9995
#17
7.92.3
10.212.5
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed