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Red101
947821.8
258730.8
624316.7
Blue104
12722.9
557253.1
258528.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80152050100200250101104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
59Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
12Foul points0
101Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#13
30.80.6
24.023.5
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End5.9
blue by 22.3
53.12.7
59.556.8
Auto14.5
Teleop30.1
End8.4
Second
9478
#19
21.80.6
31.530.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 6.8
2585
#14
28.62.7
44.341.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End5.0
Third
6243
#21
16.70.6
20.920.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End0.5
blue by 6.1
127
#12
22.92.7
22.720.0
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned