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Red103
384741.3
582933.5
99957.9
Blue120
542728.6
32436.9
589246.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80138050100200250300103120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +5
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
62Total teleop67
Reef
10L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
103Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#20
41.31.2
37.238.4
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
blue by 5.2
5892
#15
46.40.3
43.343.0
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Second
33.51.2
31.833.0
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
blue by 3.4
324
#4
36.90.3
51.150.8
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
Third
9995
#17
7.92.1
12.514.6
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End0.1
blue by 20.6
5427
#10
28.60.3
27.427.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned