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Red204
118101.1
541441.1
624316.7
Blue122
589246.4
947821.8
582933.5
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18094050150200250300350204122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+66Teleop
+76Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points20
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +49
26Coral scored#14
92Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
132Total teleop83
Reef
11L4#5
13L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +82
6Foul points0
204Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.11.0
99.1100.1
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
red by 54.7
5892
#15
46.40.5
45.345.8
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
Second
41.11.0
39.140.1
Auto12.4
Teleop24.8
End3.8
red by 7.6
33.50.5
32.432.9
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
Third
6243
#21
16.71.0
14.715.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End0.5
blue by 5.0
9478
#19
21.80.5
20.621.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8