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Red127
32436.9
557253.1
12722.9
Blue104
542728.6
258528.6
999431.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13679050100150200250127104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points15
26Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +19
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
85Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
127Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.2
54.154.4
Auto14.5
Teleop30.1
End8.4
red by 21.8
31.20.6
30.631.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End0.6
Second
324
#4
36.90.2
38.038.2
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
red by 8.3
2585
#14
28.60.4
28.228.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End5.0
Third
127
#12
22.90.2
24.024.2
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.1
blue by 5.7
5427
#10
28.60.4
28.228.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End6.3