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Red97
458717.1
258730.8
837022.5
Blue90
384741.3
999214.9
373522.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698502004006008001,0001,2001,4009790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
65Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
97Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#13
30.80.7
29.730.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End5.9
blue by 10.5
3847
#20
41.30.3
41.041.3
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Second
22.50.7
21.422.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3735
#11
22.80.3
22.522.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.5
Third
17.10.7
16.016.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.2
red by 2.3
9992
#16
14.90.4
14.514.9
Auto1.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3