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Red100
542728.6
258528.6
999431.2
Blue119
458717.1
258730.8
837022.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100580150200250100119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
24Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
62Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
100Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.2
33.333.6
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End0.6
red by 0.4
2587
#13
30.81.3
27.729.0
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End5.9
Second
2585
#14
28.60.2
29.930.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.6
End5.0
red by 6.1
22.51.3
19.420.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
5427
#10
28.60.2
29.930.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End6.3
red by 11.4
17.11.3
14.015.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.2