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Red110
582933.5
947821.8
589246.4
Blue68
384741.3
999214.9
373522.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057505015020025011068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
61Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
110Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#15
46.40.4
43.944.3
Auto13.4
Teleop30.7
End2.4
red by 5.2
3847
#20
41.30.2
41.240.9
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Second
33.50.4
31.031.3
Auto8.0
Teleop18.8
End6.7
red by 10.7
3735
#11
22.80.2
22.722.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.5
Third
9478
#19
21.80.4
19.319.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 6.9
9992
#16
14.90.4
14.714.4
Auto1.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3