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Red124
541438.1
999910.8
857631.6
Blue119
118101.1
837017.3
947830.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions571800100150200250300350400124119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
Unranked
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
blue by 63.0
118
Unranked
101.10.0
101.1101.1
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
Second
8576
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto2.9
Teleop22.4
End6.3
red by 0.7
9478
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Third
9999
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 6.5
8370
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0