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Red59
557262.0
258542.6
458711.5
Blue82
384741.0
999510.8
12722.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137710501002002503003505982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
Unranked
62.00.0
62.062.0
Auto17.8
Teleop34.8
End9.4
red by 21.0
3847
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Second
2585
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 20.4
127
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
Third
4587
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 0.7
9995
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6