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Red140
258726.5
542726.9
999410.8
Blue86
32454.9
582931.1
999210.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67111020030040014086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
blue by 28.0
324
Unranked
54.90.0
54.954.9
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Second
2587
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
blue by 4.6
5829
Unranked
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End7.5
Third
9994
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Level
9992
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6