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Red34
125514.8
918117.4
258527.5
Blue13
459711.8
882721.4
43327.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634702040801001201401603413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +15
4Coral scored#1
15Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
19Total teleop4
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
34Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.52.1
17.215.2
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 6.1
8827
#26
21.42.0
20.618.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
Second
9181
#16
17.41.2
16.315.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
red by 5.6
4597
#31
11.81.8
11.59.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
1255
#21
14.82.1
19.217.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 7.0
4332
#30
7.81.8
8.36.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed