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Red43
951513.8
817723.4
589415.9
Blue131
11885.7
541434.9
814413.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3814505010020043131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+64
Endgame+70
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +43
3Coral scored#14
12Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
20Total teleop63
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
4Foul points22
43Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#23
23.41.1
18.617.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
blue by 62.3
118
#1
85.71.3
85.384.0
Auto21.7
Teleop53.2
End10.8
Second
5894
#15
15.91.1
9.08.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
blue by 19.0
34.91.3
20.319.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
Third
9515
#20
13.81.1
16.115.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
red by 0.6
8144
#19
13.11.3
12.210.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned