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Red112
384756.0
507014.6
839210.9
Blue109
951513.8
1001434.8
648821.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89630204080100120140160112109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
22Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
70Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#23
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
4Foul points6
112Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.01.7
51.252.8
Auto13.2
Teleop33.3
End9.5
red by 21.2
34.82.6
22.224.8
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
Second
5070
#28
14.62.8
9.812.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End2.5
blue by 6.9
6488
#11
21.52.6
18.420.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
8392
#18
10.91.7
10.612.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.0
blue by 2.9
9515
#20
13.82.6
13.215.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsEarned