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Red53
913726.7
459711.8
965821.1
Blue24
814413.1
43327.8
769114.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364502060801001201405324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
36Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
53Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.9
13.714.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
red by 12.0
7691
#24
14.71.6
22.721.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Second
21.10.9
12.213.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 8.0
8144
#19
13.11.0
10.89.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
4597
#31
11.80.9
8.18.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 4.0
4332
#30
7.81.0
5.34.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed