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Red118
258527.5
541434.9
125514.8
Blue86
1011830.9
711510.3
918117.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626920408010011886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
17Coral scored#9
60Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
84Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
118Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.92.4
19.021.4
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
red by 4.0
30.90.3
29.129.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
Second
27.54.0
15.219.1
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 10.1
9181
#16
17.40.3
15.015.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
Third
1255
#21
14.84.0
17.121.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 4.5
7115
#25
10.30.5
11.912.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned