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Red50
258527.5
814413.1
459711.8
Blue71
432814.0
125514.8
918117.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46540204060801001205071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
Fouls+21
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
4Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
25Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points46
50Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.1
19.120.2
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 10.1
9181
#16
17.41.2
15.113.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
Second
8144
#19
13.10.7
9.810.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 1.7
1255
#21
14.81.9
21.119.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
4597
#31
11.80.7
8.99.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 2.2
4328
#14
14.01.2
6.35.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned