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Red37
851516.8
882721.4
507014.6
Blue89
384756.0
589415.9
526119.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5682020401001201403789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+56
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +42
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
12Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
37Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8827
#26
21.41.3
20.619.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
blue by 34.6
56.00.4
52.853.2
Auto13.2
Teleop33.3
End9.5
Second
8515
#17
16.81.3
17.416.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
blue by 2.8
19.50.4
13.013.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Third
5070
#28
14.62.2
12.510.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End2.5
blue by 1.3
5894
#15
15.90.4
5.55.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed