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Red31
95219.0
43327.8
458717.1
Blue39
288211.6
951513.8
769114.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30500204060801003139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
1Coral scored#1
5Coral points3
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop3
Reef
0L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
14Foul points24
31Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#22
17.10.9
12.912.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7
red by 2.4
7691
#24
14.73.1
20.517.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Second
9521
#29
9.01.5
13.211.8
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 4.8
9515
#20
13.81.9
15.713.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Third
4332
#30
7.80.9
4.33.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 3.7
2882
#12
11.61.9
7.05.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed