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Red176
11885.7
258527.5
648821.5
Blue100
348115.3
541434.9
432814.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16538050100150200250176100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+44Teleop
+42Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#12
76Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
100Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#3
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
36Foul points2
176Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.70.0
84.084.0
Auto21.7
Teleop53.2
End10.8
red by 50.9
34.93.1
21.024.1
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
Second
27.50.1
20.220.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 12.2
3481
#13
15.33.1
11.314.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
6488
#11
21.50.0
20.921.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 7.5
4328
#14
14.03.1
5.28.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned