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Red90
711510.3
817723.4
913726.7
Blue96
1001434.8
95165.4
1011830.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578220401001201409096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+14
Endgame+26
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
60Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
20Foul points0
90Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.5
14.615.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
blue by 8.0
34.80.9
24.825.6
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
Second
8177
#23
23.40.5
19.019.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
blue by 7.5
30.90.9
30.030.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
Third
7115
#25
10.30.8
11.011.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
red by 4.9
9516
#27
5.41.5
7.48.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned