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Red44
839210.9
951720.1
458717.1
Blue46
769114.7
125514.8
965821.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3959020801001204446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
3Coral scored#5
12Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
20Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
44Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9517
#10
20.10.0
14.014.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
blue by 1.0
21.10.3
14.013.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
4587
#22
17.10.0
12.012.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7
red by 2.3
1255
#21
14.80.5
19.218.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
8392
#18
10.90.0
12.212.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.0
blue by 3.8
7691
#24
14.70.5
17.316.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed