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Red113
95219.0
432814.0
11885.7
Blue53
589415.9
348115.3
814413.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302505010015020011353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+46Teleop
+58Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +39
15Coral scored#5
54Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
72Total teleop33
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
2Foul points0
113Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.70.1
84.084.1
Auto21.7
Teleop53.2
End10.8
red by 69.9
5894
#15
15.91.1
5.97.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Second
4328
#14
14.00.1
8.38.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 1.3
3481
#13
15.31.1
14.415.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
9521
#29
9.00.1
11.811.9
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 4.1
8144
#19
13.11.1
10.511.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed