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Red20
43327.8
839210.9
951513.8
Blue83
258527.5
913726.7
526119.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29550204060801002083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
2Coral scored#7
6Coral points26
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
10Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points14
20Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9515
#20
13.81.0
13.912.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
blue by 13.7
27.51.6
20.321.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Second
8392
#18
10.91.0
12.211.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.0
blue by 15.9
26.70.9
15.116.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
Third
4332
#30
7.81.0
3.42.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 11.7
19.50.9
13.514.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned