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Red52
125514.8
711510.3
882721.4
Blue60
288211.6
459711.8
951720.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67300204060801001201405260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
7Coral scored#7
26Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
40Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
52Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8827
#26
21.40.7
19.318.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
red by 1.3
9517
#10
20.11.4
14.015.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
Second
1255
#21
14.81.1
18.717.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 3.0
4597
#31
11.81.4
9.611.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
7115
#25
10.31.1
11.810.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 1.3
2882
#12
11.61.4
5.16.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed