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Red84
851516.8
965821.1
1001434.8
Blue82
817723.4
648821.5
918117.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73700501001502008482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+22Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +21
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
62Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
84Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.6
25.627.2
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
red by 11.3
8177
#23
23.41.4
19.520.9
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
Second
21.11.6
13.715.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
blue by 0.3
6488
#11
21.51.4
21.022.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
8515
#17
16.81.6
16.117.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
blue by 0.7
9181
#16
17.41.4
13.915.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned