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Red125
541434.9
95165.4
11885.7
Blue67
913726.7
951513.8
507014.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1493505010020012567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+64Teleop
+68Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
88Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points10
125Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.70.2
84.183.9
Auto21.7
Teleop53.2
End10.8
red by 59.0
26.70.6
16.016.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
Second
34.90.2
24.123.9
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
red by 20.3
5070
#28
14.61.0
10.411.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Third
9516
#27
5.40.4
8.98.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 8.4
9515
#20
13.80.6
12.913.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed