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Red103
384756.0
711510.3
1001434.8
Blue54
43327.8
851516.8
817723.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11542010015020010354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+37Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
62Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
12Foul points0
103Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.0
53.253.2
Auto13.2
Teleop33.3
End9.5
red by 32.5
8177
#23
23.40.9
20.921.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
Second
34.80.0
27.227.2
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
red by 18.0
8515
#17
16.80.9
17.618.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End4.4
Third
7115
#25
10.30.0
10.710.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
red by 2.4
4332
#30
7.80.9
2.43.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned