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Red51
95219.0
814413.1
882721.4
Blue69
526119.5
125514.8
348115.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495902040801001205169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
36Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
51Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8827
#26
21.40.2
18.718.5
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
red by 1.9
19.50.7
14.415.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Second
8144
#19
13.10.2
11.611.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 2.2
3481
#13
15.30.7
15.516.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
9521
#29
9.00.4
11.911.5
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 5.8
1255
#21
14.81.2
17.618.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed