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Red58
951513.8
1011830.9
882721.4
Blue71
965821.1
432814.0
507014.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904602060801001201405871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
41Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
58Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.7
30.929.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
red by 9.8
21.10.8
14.915.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
8827
#26
21.41.7
18.516.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
red by 6.8
5070
#28
14.61.3
11.312.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Third
9515
#20
13.81.7
13.511.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
blue by 0.2
4328
#14
14.00.8
8.39.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed