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Red111
458717.1
11885.7
526119.5
Blue25
1001434.8
43327.8
125514.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13946010015020011125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+76Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points4
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +59
13Coral scored#1
45Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
67Total teleop8
Reef
7L4#1
6L3#0
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
111Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.70.2
83.983.7
Auto21.7
Teleop53.2
End10.8
red by 50.9
34.81.6
27.225.6
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
Second
19.50.2
15.115.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
red by 4.7
1255
#21
14.82.7
18.816.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Third
4587
#22
17.10.2
14.414.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7
red by 9.3
4332
#30
7.81.6
3.31.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed