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Red70
348115.3
817723.4
459711.8
Blue80
288211.6
258527.5
814413.1
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615202040801001201407080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
44Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
8Foul points0
70Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#23
23.40.2
21.822.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
blue by 4.1
27.52.7
26.028.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
Second
3481
#13
15.30.2
16.316.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 2.2
8144
#19
13.11.6
11.413.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
4597
#31
11.80.2
10.510.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 0.2
2882
#12
11.61.6
6.27.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned