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Red31
459711.8
951720.1
125514.8
Blue96
541434.9
1001434.8
288211.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5171204060801001203196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+65
Endgame+59
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#10
11Coral points37
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
0Processor points18
4Net points8
4Algae points26
15Total teleop63
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#20
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points6
31Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9517
#10
20.10.8
16.715.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
blue by 14.8
34.92.1
25.327.4
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
Second
1255
#21
14.81.3
16.114.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 20.0
34.82.1
25.627.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
Third
4597
#31
11.80.8
10.79.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 0.2
2882
#12
11.62.1
7.89.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed