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Red79
965821.1
258527.5
951513.8
Blue56
817723.4
95165.4
458717.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71500204060801001201401607956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+19Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
48Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points2
79Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.1
28.729.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.3
End6.3
red by 4.1
8177
#23
23.40.4
22.022.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End7.3
Second
21.10.7
15.716.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 4.0
4587
#22
17.10.4
14.314.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7
Third
9515
#20
13.80.7
11.712.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
red by 8.4
9516
#27
5.40.7
6.16.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed