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Red81
711510.3
507014.6
648821.5
Blue81
882721.4
769114.7
589415.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635202040801001201408181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
36Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
30Foul points0
81Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6488
#11
21.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 0.1
8827
#26
21.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
Second
5070
#28
14.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End2.5
blue by 1.3
5894
#15
15.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
7115
#25
10.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
blue by 4.4
7691
#24
14.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned