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Red96
348115.3
918117.4
384756.0
Blue55
43327.8
95219.0
913726.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102220501509655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
62Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
2Foul points8
96Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.3
52.853.1
Auto13.2
Teleop33.3
End9.5
red by 29.2
26.70.8
17.918.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
Second
9181
#16
17.40.3
13.914.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
red by 8.4
9521
#29
9.01.2
10.812.0
Auto0.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
3481
#13
15.30.3
16.516.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 7.5
4332
#30
7.80.8
1.72.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed